Engineering · Counting accuracy

A note on counting accuracy: ground truth and humility

97.8% counting accuracy means 22 missed counts in 1,000. Here is where the misses come from, and how we tell the customer up-front.

A dense festival crowd at night with hands and phones raised, overlapping bodies packed to the point where separating one person from the next decides counting accuracy
At full density, individual separation is exactly where counting accuracy is won or lost.

We quote 97.8% counting accuracy. That sounds like a marketing number. It is actually a confession: 97.8% means 22 missed counts in every 1,000. This post is about those 22.

01 · WHERE THE MISSES COME FROMWhere the misses come from

Counting accuracy is not uniform across a room. The errors cluster, and knowing where they cluster is more useful to a customer than the headline percentage.

  • Doorway tailgating. Two people crossing a threshold shoulder-to-shoulder in the same frame are the single largest source of miscounts. The model resolves most of them; a fraction read as one person.
  • Extreme density. At very high occupancy, individual separation degrades. Counts stay directionally correct but absolute accuracy softens.
  • Unusual geometry. Swing doors, mirrored surfaces and atrium voids each introduce their own characteristic error, which is why every deployment is calibrated per site.

02 · WHY WE PUBLISH THE FAILURE MODESWhy we publish the failure modes

A vendor who only quotes the headline number is implicitly promising uniform accuracy, and that promise breaks the first time a facilities manager checks a busy doorway by eye. We would rather the customer know, on day one, that the doorway is the hard case and that we calibrate for it.

Calibration is a 30-minute manual ground-truth pass per sensor: a human counts, the model counts, the difference tunes the deployment. We re-run it whenever a sensor's drift exceeds 2%.

03 · HUMILITY AS A FEATUREHumility as a feature

Occupancy data drives decisions HVAC schedules, safety thresholds, capacity planning. A decision made on a number that is quietly wrong is worse than a decision made on a number known to be approximate. So we ship confidence intervals alongside counts, and we support independent ground-truth audits on every pilot.

97.8% is not the end of the sentence. The end of the sentence is: and here is exactly which 2.2% to be careful with.

If your building can't answer one of these questions yet, we should talk.